VIDEO: Emerging Countries Must Be Able To Control Capital Flows: Study

Emerging market nations can be adversely affected by large swings in investment, and must therefore develop tools to control credit flows or risk relinquishing any independent monetary policy. That was the finding of a paper presented at the Kansas City Federal Reserve’s monetary policy symposium at Jackson Hole, which highlighted the global impact of the unconventional monetary policy of the United States and other major central banks.

US 10-Year Treasury Speculators reduced bearish positions last week

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report

10 Year Treasuries: Large trader and speculators reduced their bearish positions last week for 10-year treasury notes in the futures markets after pushing 10-year notes to their most bearish position of 2013 the previous week. 10-year treasury non-commercial contracts totaled a net position of -24,840 contracts in the data reported for August 20th. This is an improvement of +41,592 contracts from the previous week’s total of -66,432 net contracts on August 13th. In the same time-frame, the yield on the 10 Year treasury note rose from 2.71 on Tuesday August 13th to 2.82 on Tuesday August 20th, according to US Treasury data.


10Year


Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateNet Large SpecsWeekly Change10 Year Yield
07/16/201317735648452.55
07/23/2013-32312-500472.53
07/30/201311903442152.63
08/06/2013-20096-319992.67
08/13/2013-66432-463362.71
08/20/2013-24840415922.82



*COT explanation: The weekly cot report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).




Article by CountingPips.comForex News & Market Analysis

 

Currency Futures Speculators cut US Dollar bullish bets to lowest since June 25th

By CountingPips.com


Cot-values



The weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), showed that large futures traders and currency speculators continued to cut back on their bullish bets of the US dollar last week for a fifth consecutive week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, decreased their overall US dollar long positions to a total of $13.54 billion as of Tuesday August 20th. This was a decrease of $4.08 billion from the total long position of $17.62 billion that was registered on August 13th, according to calculations by Reuters that calculates this amount by the total of US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

US dollar overall long positions remained at the lowest level since June 25th when long bets equaled $13.28 billion.

COT explanation: The weekly cot report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and non-reportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Individual Currencies Large Speculators Positions in Futures:

The large non-commercial net positions for each of the individual major currencies directly against the US dollar last week saw weekly increases for the euro, British pound sterling, Japanese yen  and the New Zealand dollar while the Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and the Mexican peso had declining numbers of large speculator positions for the week.

Notable changes:

Euro net speculative contracts improved for the sixth straight week and are at their 2nd best level of 2013 and highest level since February 5th when bullish positions totaled +37,952 contracts.

Individual Currency Charts:


EuroFX:

eur

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: EuroFX

DateLarge Trader Net PositionsWeekly Change
07/16/2013-371653735
07/23/2013-279009265
07/30/2013-850419396
08/06/2013606114565
08/13/2013160579996
08/20/20133674620689



British Pound Sterling:

gbp

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Pound Sterling

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013-37446-3187
07/23/2013-49653-12207
07/30/2013-49463190
08/06/2013-460333430
08/13/2013-46521-488
08/20/2013-395226999



Japanese Yen:

jpy

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Yen

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013-85762-5457
07/23/2013-87496-1734
07/30/2013-821355361
08/06/2013-802131922
08/13/2013-744625751
08/20/2013-717212741



Swiss Franc:

chf

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Franc

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013-4969-3193
07/23/2013-5433-464
07/30/2013-12614172
08/06/2013-325936
08/13/201321362461
08/20/2013291-1845



Canadian Dollar:

cad

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: CAD

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013-200433786
07/23/2013-167583285
07/30/2013-114345324
08/06/2013-10436998
08/13/2013-90811355
08/20/2013-9544-463



Australian Dollar:

aud

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: AUD

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013-70686-7431
07/23/2013-639826704
07/30/2013-72573-8591
08/06/2013-76779-4206
08/13/2013-6272114058
08/20/2013-63183-462



New Zealand Dollar:

nzd

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: NZD

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013-2744-1736
07/23/2013-1846898
07/30/2013-5201326
08/06/2013-1539-1019
08/13/20131971736
08/20/201323902193



Mexican Peso:

mxn

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: MXN

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/16/2013113663331
07/23/2013197998433
07/30/2013248885089
08/06/2013321257237
08/13/2013363204195
08/20/201336131-189

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.

 

Article by CountingPips.com