USD/JPY Declines with Pullback in U.S. Equities

By Fast Brokers – The USD/JPY’s little rally is fading again as volume subsides.  It seems the USD/JPY is dribbling to a dead-halt directionally with four consecutive lower highs (4/6, 5/7, 6/5, and now 7/1) combined with two consecutive higher lows (5/22, 6/23).  The currency pair remains stuck choosing between the two deteriorating economies of Japan and the U.S.  While worse than expected Tankan data provides upward buoyancy on the USD/JPY, negative unemployment data and falling U.S. equities create a downward pressure on price.  Hence, we see a tight, constrictive trading range in the USD/JPY.  The currency pair is following the negative data out of the U.S. and EU today, dipping back towards our 2nd tier downtrend line.  Meanwhile, investors should keep a close watch on the S&P to see how the futures deal with the 875-900 range.  If the S&P’s bottom-end supports don’t hold and a new leg down forms, this movement may be enough to send the USD/JPY falling towards our key 1st tier uptrend line.

Present Price: 96.15

Resistances: 96.33, 96.90, 97.45, 98.05, 98.66

Supports: 95.73, 94.99, 94.45, 93.76, 93.32

Psychological: 95, 100

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