10-Year Note Speculators pared bearish bets for 5th week, lowest level in 89 weeks

October 12, 2019

October 12th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators once again cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -122,560 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday October 8th. This was a weekly change of 41,050 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -163,610 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) decreasing by -36,217 contracts (to a weekly total of 604,788 contracts) while the gross bearish position (shorts) dropped by a larger amount of -77,267 contracts for the week (to a total of 727,348 contracts).

Large 10-year speculators continued to decrease their bearish positions this week for the fifth consecutive week. Overall, the spec position have now sliced off a total of 255,307 contracts from the bearish standing in these past five weeks.


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The current net standing is now at the least bearish level since January 23rd of 2018, which is a span of eighty-nine weeks.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 68,361 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decrease of -23,360 contracts from the total net of 91,721 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $131.82 which was an advance of $1.04 from the previous close of $130.78, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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