Archive for Bonds

10-Year Note Speculators cut bearish bets for 5th time in 6 weeks

February 16, 2019 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators continued to reduce their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets in January, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

This latest COT data is from later in January due to the government shutdown which suspended the releases. The CFTC is releasing data on Tuesdays and Fridays going forward until the data is back up to date.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -125,752 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday January 22nd. This was a weekly gain of 74,432 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -200,184 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) advancing by 36,952 contracts to a weekly total of 686,934 contracts compared to the gross bearish position (shorts) which saw a decline by -37,480 contracts for the week to a total of 812,686 contracts.

The net speculative position continued to shed bearish bets through January 22nd. The bearish position has now declined from a net position of -380,779 contracts on December 18th to a total of -125,752 contracts on January 22nd. The speculative standing marked the lowest bearish level in almost exactly one year (January 23, 2018).

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 112,854 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -43,744 contracts from the total net of 156,598 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $121.82 which was a drop of $-0.07 from the previous close of $121.90, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators continued to cut their bearish bets sharply into January

By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators sharply cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets into early January, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The latest COT data is from early in January due to the government shutdown which halted the releases. The CFTC is releasing data on Tuesdays and Fridays going forward until the data is back up to date.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -188,068 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday January 8th. This was a weekly increase of 120,219 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -308,287 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) rising by 44,107 contracts to a weekly total of 650,789 contracts in addition to the gross bearish position (shorts) which saw a drop by -76,112 contracts for the week total of 838,857 contracts.

The net speculative position dropped for the fourth straight week and by a total of 205,734 contracts over that period. The fall below the -200,000 net contract level marked the least bearish position in approximately a year.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 177,746 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decline of -144,170 contracts from the total net of 321,916 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $121.75 which was a decline of $-0.26 from the previous close of $122.01, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators strongly pared their bearish bets in December

By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators sharply cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets in late December, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

This latest COT data is from late in December due to the government shutdown which halted the releases. The CFTC will be releasing data on Tuesdays and Fridays going forward until the data is back up to date.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -317,632 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 24th. This was a weekly boost of 63,147 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -380,779 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) decreasing by -50,672 contracts to a weekly total of 576,500 contracts but being more than offset by the gross bearish position (shorts) which saw a lowering by -113,819 contracts for the week to a total of 894,132 contracts.

The speculative net position fell for the second straight week on December 24th and speculators were shedding their bearish bets pretty fast considering the speculator net bearish position totaled over -700,000 contracts in early October and over -500,000 contracts in early November.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 319,719 contracts on the week. This was a weekly shortfall of -77,621 contracts from the total net of 397,340 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $121.40 which was a gain of $0.54 from the previous close of $120.85, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators trimmed their bearish bets

December 22nd – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators decreased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -380,779 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 18th. This was a weekly change of 13,023 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -393,802 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position rising by 23,223 contracts to a weekly total of 627,172 contracts that overtook the gross bearish position which saw an advance by 10,200 contracts for the week to a total of 1,007,951 contracts.

The speculative net bearish position retreated this week after two weeks of gaining bearish bets that pushed the bearish level to a five-week high. The current standing now remains under the -400,000 net contract level for a sixth straight week.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 397,340 contracts on the week. This was a weekly loss of -16,840 contracts from the total net of 414,180 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $120.85 which was an advance of $0.43 from the previous close of $120.42, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators strongly raised their bearish bets this week

December 15th 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators sharply added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -393,802 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 11th. This was a weekly change of -100,616 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -293,186 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position falling by -53,250 contracts to a weekly total of 603,949 contracts combined with the gross bearish position which saw a lift by 47,366 contracts for the week to a total of 997,751 contracts.

The speculative position has been shedding large amounts of bearish positions over the past few months before a turnaround in the past two weeks. The spec standing had gone from a record high bearish position of -756,316 contracts on September 25th to a total of -284,223 contracts two weeks ago. This week’s turnaround pushed the bearish bets level back up over the -350,000 contract level and to the highest bearish standing since November 6th.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 414,180 contracts on the week. This was a weekly advance of 36,873 contracts from the total net of 377,307 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $120.42 which was a boost of $0.40 from the previous close of $120.01, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators added to their bearish net positions last week

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -293,186 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly change of -8,963 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -284,223 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position ascending by 76,069 contracts to a weekly total of 657,199 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a rise by 85,032 contracts for the week to a total of 950,385 contracts.

The speculative net position saw a slight boost in the bearish level after specs had severely contracted their bearish bets by a total of 254,963 contracts in the previous three weeks. The current standing remains under the -300,000 net contract level for a second straight week after numbering over -700,000 contracts just ten weeks ago.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 377,307 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -43,615 contracts from the total net of 420,922 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $120.01 which was an uptick of $0.90 from the previous close of $119.10, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators continued to drop their bearish bets this week

December 1st 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators continued to cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -284,223 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 27th. This was a weekly change of 83,042 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -367,265 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position tumbling by -33,711 contracts to a weekly total of 581,130 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a decrease by -116,753 contracts for the week to a total of 865,353 contracts.

The speculative position has been strongly shedding bearish positions since reaching an all-time record high bearish position on September 25th with -756,316 contracts. The current standing is now below the -300,000 net contract level for the first time since March 13th.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 420,922 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decline of -39,693 contracts from the total net of 460,615 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $119.10 which was a fall of $-0.06 from the previous close of $119.17, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators added to bearish bets after previous week’s huge move

November 26th, 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday due to the Thanksgiving day holiday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -367,265 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 20th. This was a weekly change of -34,070 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -333,195 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position falling by -51,450 contracts to a weekly total of 614,841 contracts compared to the gross bearish position total of 982,106 contracts which only saw a decrease by -17,380 contracts for the week.

The speculators added to their bearish position last week following the huge cut down of the overall bearish level in the previous week by +205,991 contracts (this marked the largest 1-week gain in a year and a half). The bearish position now remains under the -400,000 net contract level for a second straight week. The is the first time since June that bearish bets have been under that level for consecutive weeks.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 460,615 contracts on the week. This was a weekly rise of 18,449 contracts from the total net of 442,166 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $119.17 which was an increase of $0.87 from the previous close of $118.29, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators sharply cut back on their US bonds bearish bets

November 17, 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators strongly reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -333,195 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 13th. This was a weekly change of 205,991 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -539,186 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position gaining by 79,328 contracts to a weekly total of 666,291 contracts in addition to the gross bearish position dropping by -126,663 contracts for the week to a total of 999,486 contracts.

The speculative position this week saw the largest one-week gain in net positions since April 25th of 2017 when the net position had gained by +255,942 contracts. The current 10-year standing is now at the least bearish level since April 10th of this year when the net position totaled -330,635 contracts.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 442,166 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -208,514 contracts from the total net of 650,680 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $118.29 which was an uptick of $0.54 from the previous close of $117.75, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators pushed their bearish bets higher for 1st time in 6 weeks

November 10, 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators raised their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -539,186 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 6th. This was a weekly change of -36,347 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -502,839 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position increasing by 7,074 contracts to a weekly total of 586,963 contracts but being overtaken by the gross bearish position which saw a boost by 43,421 contracts for the week to a total of 1,126,149 contracts .

The speculative bets in the 10-year has seen five straight weeks of declining bearish bets before this week’s turnaround. The current standing remains highly bearish but is more than 200,000 contracts less than the all-time high bearish position that was recorded on September 25th at -756,316 contracts.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 650,680 contracts on the week. This was a weekly gain of 65,845 contracts from the total net of 584,835 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $117.75 which was a decrease of $-0.79 from the previous close of $118.54, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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