Defiance Silver Ready for Higher Prices

September 21, 2020

Source: Bob Moriarty for Streetwise Reports   09/20/2020

Bob Moriarty profiles the silver-copper explorer and discusses the project he describes as a “hidden gem.”

Defiance Silver

Defiance Silver

I wrote about Defiance Silver Corp. (DEF:TSX.V; DNCVF:OTCBB) (DEF-V, DNCVF-OTCBB) back in July. Their shares were $0.35 back then and have almost doubled since. Investors it seems to me are way too bullish. While I would like to see a deeper correction in gold and silver, Defiance is prepared for higher prices. I think they are as perfectly positioned as any company in the space. Because of leverage.

Many years ago Rob McEwen ran Goldcorp. When he went to gold shows, he always pointed out that Goldcorp had the lowest cost of production of gold in the industry. I think he used the figure of $85 an ounce when gold was in the $260–$300 range. So he was saying Goldcorp could produce at $85 an ounce so no matter how low gold went, they would be the last company standing.

At the time some of the top investors in the financial industry were predicting much lower prices for gold. Investors should remember that at market lows everyone is predicting cheaper prices and at market tops are suggesting much higher prices. Robert Prechter, famous for his best selling book on the Elliott Wave even called for $200 gold.


Free Reports:

Sign Up for Our Stock Market Newsletter – Get updated on News, Charts & Rankings of Public Companies when you join our Stocks Newsletter





Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.





I was chatting with McEwen sometime around 2002 or so at one of the shows. I pointed out that he was sending a mixed message. On the one hand he was predicting much higher gold but on the other hand he was bragging about being the last mining company in the industry if gold actually did drop to $200 an ounce.

It seemed obvious to me that if there was only one profitable gold mining company that the industry would have died and been buried and I said so. Rob looked at me and gave me one of those deer in the headlight looks. Truly that hadn’t occurred to him.

“Rob, if you believe gold is going much higher, you don’t want to only own a company that can produce at a profit at $85 an ounce, you want to be buying up cheap projects that require $400 or $500 an ounce to make money. That way you get leverage and when gold goes up as we know it will, those go from dead in the water to being wildly profitable.” I said.

If you want to make a lot of money investing and you believe as I do that the Fed has destroyed the dollar and hyperinflation is around the corner, you want to be in the highest leverage projects you can find. Because they might not work at $1250 gold and $2.50 copper but at $2500 gold and $4 copper you would own, well, let’s call it a gold mine.

Defiance Silver just completed a $10 million private placement. They are well cashed up to move both of their key projects forward. In May Defiance got the vendor to agree to move out the final property payment on the San Acacio silver project to September of 2023. DEF will be paying a total of about $4.7 million US to own 100% of San Acacio subject to a 2.5% NSR.

By and large investors are or should be familiar with the San Acacio silver deposit. It has been the focus of Defiance for years. The company begins at 5,000-meter drill program at San Acacio in the middle of October

But the real hidden secret is in the Tepal copper/gold deposit located in Michoacán state. It’s about 170 km south of Guadalajara. Don’t worry much about the location. I don’t know where those are either other than they are in Mexico. Defiance owns 100% of the Tepal property. They picked it up in 2009. They released an updated 43-101 resource in 2017 showing a gold resource of just under 2 million ounces and a copper resource of about 935 million pounds. The copper alone gives five pounds of copper at $3 a pound per share of Defiance.

A PEA also done in 2017 called for an NPV after tax of $169 million US based on $1250 US gold and $2.50 US for copper. But every $250 increase in the price of gold adds about $100 million US to the NPV. That brings the NPV a lot closer to $500 million US.

The biggest issue at Tepal is grade. The 43-101 shows an M&I gold grade of 0.3 g/t and 0.2% copper. Those are not high grades. But as prices for the metals go up, the economic grade goes down. Defiance has been working on Tepal for over a decade but it’s been on the back burner. With higher prices for the metals in sight, Defiance will pour more effort and resources into moving Tepal forward. The project is in a perfect position to offer investors nice leverage to the price of both gold and copper.

Defiance is an advertiser. I own shares, I participated in the last PP and that makes me biased. Do your own due diligence, please.

Defiance Silver Corp
DEF-V $0.61 (Sep 18, 2020)
DNCVF-OTCBB 185 million shares
Defiance Silver website

Bob Moriarty
President: 321gold
Archives
321gold

Bob Moriarty founded 321gold.com, with his late wife, Barbara Moriarty, more than 16 years ago. They later added 321energy.com to cover oil, natural gas, gasoline, coal, solar, wind and nuclear energy. Both sites feature articles, editorial opinions, pricing figures and updates on current events affecting both sectors. Previously, Moriarty was a Marine F-4B and O-1 pilot with more than 832 missions in Vietnam. He holds 14 international aviation records.

Disclosure:
1) Bob Moriarty: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Defiance Silver. Defiance Silver is an advertiser on 321 Gold. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector.
2) The following companies mentioned are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees.
3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.