Speculators cut US Dollar bets for 7th week. VIX bets to record high. Gold, Oil bets rise

November 23, 2019

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Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes.

This week in the COT data, currency speculators continued to cut back on their US Dollar Index bullish bets for a seventh consecutive week. The USD speculative bullish position has fallen to the lowest level in 23 weeks.

Canadian dollar bullish bets dropped by over -13,000 contracts this week after falling by over -11,000 contracts in the previous week. CAD bets still remain in bullish territory but at the lowest level in five weeks.

Crude oil speculator positions were rose higher for a sixth consecutive week and has gained by a total of +74,890 contracts in the past six weeks. The bullish level is at the highest level in twenty-five weeks.


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The 10-Year Note speculators once again raised their bearish bets for the third time in four weeks. The bearish bet gains pushed the net position above the -100,000 net contract level for a fourth consecutive week.

Precious metals speculators advanced their Gold bullish positions by over +18,000 net contracts this week and positions have gone higher for four times in the past five weeks. Gold bullish bets have stayed above the +250,000 net contract level for eighteen straight weeks now.

Silver speculator bets rebounded this week after falling for two straight weeks. This week’s gain of 7,352 net contracts pushes the overall net position back above the +40,000 net contract level.

Copper speculators boosted their bearish bets for a second straight week following four straight weeks of lower bearish positions. The current bearish position is now back above the -35,000 net contract level for the first time in four weeks.

VIX speculators once again reached a new all-time high record bearish position for a fourth straight week with bets at a total of -218,362 contracts. The bearish positioning has come fast and furious with bearish gains in six consecutive weeks and for the eleventh time out of the past twelve weeks.


US Dollar Index Speculators cut bullish bets for 7th straight week, drop CAD bets

Large currency speculators lowered their net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. See full article.


WTI Crude Oil Speculators raised bullish bets for 6th consecutive week

The large speculator contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 429,975 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 5,378 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


10-Year Note Speculators increased their bearish bets for 3rd time in 4 weeks

Large speculator contracts of the 10-Year Bond futures totaled a net position of -183,524 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -34,730 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Gold Speculators upped their bullish bets for 4th time in 5 weeks

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the Gold futures totaled a net position of 285,859 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 18,793 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


VIX Speculators push bearish bets to another record high

Large stock market volatility speculator contracts of the VIX futures totaled a net position of -218,362 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -12,205 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Silver Speculators advanced their bullish bets for 1st time in 3 weeks

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the silver futures totaled a net position of 44,716 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 7,352 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Copper Speculators boosted their bearish bets for 2nd week

Metals speculator contracts of the copper futures totaled a net position of -35,106 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -8,819 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).