Gold tumbles after solid US data, yearly highs seem off the table – for now…

November 6, 2019

By Admiral Markets

Source: Economic Events 06 November 2019 – Admiral Markets’ Forex Calendar

After the FED cut rates by 25 basis points last Wednesday, but didn’t deliver any significant further impulses or signs in regards to future monetary policy steps, the ISM Non-Manufacturing data set yesterday pointed to a rise of 54.7 in October from a near 3-year low of 52.6 in September, beating market expectations of 53.5. Business activity, employment and new orders all grew at faster rates.

As a result, expectations among market participants of another FED rate cut by 25 basis points in December dropped to around 5%, making such a step very unlikely and pushed the yellow metal back below 1,500 USD.

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If Gold bulls succeed in breaking above 1,520 USD, another test of the current yearly highs around 1,557 USD may be possible. However, currently the mode is bearish in the short term.

Nevertheless, the overall technical picture on a daily time-frame didn’t significantly darken, but instead brings now a potential mid-term long trigger around 1,440/450 USD into play.

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on Gold Daily chart (between 07 August 2018 to 05 November 2019). Accessed: 05 November 2019 at 10:00 PM GMT

Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, or future performance.

In 2014, the value of Gold fell by 1.7%, in 2015, it fell by 10.4%, in 2016 it increased by 8.1%, in 2017 it increased by 13.1%, in 2018, it fell by 1.6%, meaning that after five years, it was up by 6.4%.

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By Admiral Markets