COT Report: USD Speculators trim bets again. VIX bets hit new record. Gold, Crude Oil bets gain

November 9, 2019

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Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes.

This week in the COT data, currency speculators cut back on their US Dollar Index bullish bets for a fifth straight week. The current USD bullish position is now at the lowest level in sixteen weeks.

Canadian dollar bullish bets surged again this week. CAD bets have risen by at least +10,000 contracts in each of the past three weeks.

Australian dollar bets improved for a third straight week and have brought the Aussie standing to the least bearish level (-26,794 net contracts) in forty-four weeks.


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Precious metals speculators raised their Gold bullish positions this week for a third straight week and for the fourth time out of the past five weeks.

Silver speculators cut back on their bullish bets after two weeks of gains that had brought the bullish level to over the +50,000 contract threshold.

Copper speculators again reduced their bearish bets for the fourth straight week. The current bearish position (-23,311 contracts) is now less than half of the recent record high bearish position that was reached on September 3rd.

VIX speculators pushed their bearish bets higher for a fourth straight week and for the ninth time in the past ten weeks. Bearish bets hit a new record high level for a second straight week and it is the first time in history that bearish positions have been above the -200,000 net contract level.

The 10-Year Note speculators raised their bearish bets for a second straight week and by largest one-week amount (-115,390 contracts) in over a year.

Lastly, Crude oil speculative positions gained for a fourth straight week and have now risen by +51,055 contracts over that four week period. The bullish level is now back over the +400,000 net contract threshold.


US Dollar Index Speculators cut bullish bets for 5th week. AUD, CAD & MXN bets jump

Large currency speculators lowered their net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. See full article.


WTI Crude Oil Speculators upped their bullish bets for 4th week

The large speculator contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 406,140 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 22,793 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


10-Year Note Speculators strongly added to their bearish bets for a 2nd week

Large speculator contracts of the 10-Year Bond futures totaled a net position of -231,456 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -115,390 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Gold Speculators raised their bullish bets for 3rd straight week

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the Gold futures totaled a net position of 279,828 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 3,313 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


VIX Speculators boosted their record bearish positions even further

Large stock market volatility speculator contracts of the VIX futures totaled a net position of -203,598 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -15,650 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Silver Speculators trim bullish bets for 1st time in 3 weeks

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the silver futures totaled a net position of 47,997 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -5,681 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Copper Speculators continued to pare their bearish bets for 4th week

Metals speculator contracts of the copper futures totaled a net position of -23,311 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 1,914 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).