10-Year Note Speculators increased their bearish bets for 3rd time in 4 weeks

November 23, 2019

November 23rd – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators pushed their bearish net positions higher in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -183,524 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 19th. This was a weekly change of -34,730 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -148,794 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) going up by 25,397 contracts (to a weekly total of 677,709 contracts) while the gross bearish position (shorts) jumped by a greater amount of 60,127 contracts for the week (to a total of 861,233 contracts).


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Ten-year note speculators increased their bearish bets for the third time in the past four weeks. This follows a streak of seven weeks from September 10th to October 22nd where bearish bets fell by a total of 293,514 contracts in that period. The current standing of -185,524 contracts is the fourth straight week with bearish bets above the -100,000 net contract level.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 182,638 contracts on the week. This was a weekly loss of -5,412 contracts from the total net of 188,050 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $129.46 which was a rise of $0.96 from the previous close of $128.50, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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