COT Speculators boost USD Index bets to 2-YR high. Gold, Silver & WTI Crude Oil bets fall

October 5, 2019

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Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes.

This week in the COT data, currency speculators continued to raise their US Dollar Index bullish positions. This week was the sixth straight weekly increase and pushed the current USD Index standing to the best level in over two years.

The New Zealand dollar positions, meanwhile, fell for the eighth time out of the past ten weeks and registered a new record bearish position at over -40,000 contracts this week.

Mexican peso bullish positions continued to rebound strongly for a second week after having declined in six out of the previous seven weeks.


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Precious metals speculators sharply retreated from their Gold bullish positions one week after pushing bullish bets to the highest level since July of 2016.

Silver speculator bets also dipped this week and lower for a fourth straight week.

Copper speculators added to their bearish positions for a second straight week following two weeks of lower bearish bets. Net positions rose above the -45,000 net contract level but are still below the record level (-58,841 contracts) of August 3rd.

VIX speculators added to their bearish positions for a fifth consecutive week and have now increased bearish bets by -97,702 contracts over these past five weeks. The VIX spec position is at the most bearish level since the April 30th record high position.

The 10-Year Bond speculators cut back on their bearish bets this week for the fourth straight week. Specs have now trimmed their bearish bets by a total of 214,257 contracts in just the past four weeks.

Finally, the WTI Crude Oil speculators sharply pared their bullish bets for the third consecutive week. These recent declines have nudged the bullish position under the +400,000 net contract level for the first time in four weeks.


US Dollar Index Speculators lifted bets for 6th week to over 2-YR high. NZD bets slide to record low

Large currency speculators increased their net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. See full article.


WTI Crude Oil Speculators strongly pared their bullish bets, down for 3rd week

The large speculator contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 389,319 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -34,843 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


10-Year Note Speculators continued to shed bearish bets for 4th week

Large speculator contracts of the 10-Year Bond futures totaled a net position of -163,610 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 32,696 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Gold Speculators sharply dropped their bullish bets this week

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the Gold futures totaled a net position of 268,993 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -43,451 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


VIX Speculators pushed their bearish bets to highest in 5 months

Large stock market volatility speculator contracts of the VIX futures totaled a net position of -154,855 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -6,336 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Silver Speculator bets declined for a 4th straight week

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the silver futures totaled a net position of 49,815 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -914 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Copper Speculators raised their bearish bets higher for 2nd week

Metals speculator contracts of the copper futures totaled a net position of -46,773 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -6,034 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).