COT: Gold bets fall from 3-YR High. USD, JPY & Crude Oil bets rise. VIX shorts gain

September 14, 2019

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Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes.

This week in the COT data, currency speculators once again added to their US Dollar Index bullish positions for a third straight week and pushed the USD position to the highest level in 26 weeks.

Speculators increased their Japanese yen bullish bets this week and the JPY position has now improved by a total of +132,190 contracts following this year’s low-point on April 30th.


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The euro speculator bets went more bearish for a 3rd straight week while the British pound sterling bets fell to -92,233 contracts and remains the most bearish currency for speculators.

Precious metals speculators sharply retreated from their Gold bullish positions just one week after pushing their bets above the +300,000 net contract level for the first time in just about 3 years.

Silver speculator bets slipped slightly this week after rising for the previous 3 weeks. Silver positions, like gold, have accelerated quickly and have gone from a total of -8,443 contracts to +60,231 contracts in just 15 weeks.

Copper speculators retreated sharply from their bearish positions this week after recording a new all-time record high bearish position for two weeks in a row.

VIX speculators are starting to build back their bearish positions – sharply adding to their bearish bets for a second straight week and by the most in 25 weeks.

The 10-Year Bond speculators cut back on their bearish bets this week for the 3rd time out of the past 4 weeks. Specs continue to remain in a strong bearish standing but this has now fallen to a 9-week low.

Lastly, the WTI Crude Oil speculators boosted their bullish bets by the most in 25 weeks this week. Crude bets had remained consistently under the +400,000 contract level before this week’s jump.


Speculators add to US Dollar Index, Japanese yen bullish bets. Euro, GBP bets fall

Large currency speculators increased their net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. See full article.


WTI Crude Oil Speculators sharply lifted their bullish bets to 15-week high

The large speculator contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 428,205 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 44,048 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


10-Year Note Speculators decreased their bearish bets for 3rd time in 4 weeks

Large speculator contracts of the 10-Year Bond futures totaled a net position of -300,433 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 77,434 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Gold Speculators sharply pared their bullish bets after close to 3-year high

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the Gold futures totaled a net position of 269,725 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -30,822 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


VIX Speculators sharply boosted their bearish bets, up for 2nd week

Large stock market volatility speculator contracts of the VIX futures totaled a net position of -93,429 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -26,787 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Silver Speculators edged their bullish bets lower for 1st time in 4 weeks

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the silver futures totaled a net position of 60,231 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -1,894 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Copper Speculators sharply cut back on bearish bets after record high

Metals speculator contracts of the copper futures totaled a net position of -41,186 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 17,655 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).