COT Report: USD Index bets rise. Gold, Silver bets take a breather while VIX & Copper go more bearish

July 13, 2019

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Here are this week’s links to the latest Commitment of Traders data changes that were released on Friday.

This week in the COT data, we saw that precious metals speculators cooled off on their recent surge of bullish bets into Gold and Silver. Gold positions had jumped by +172,258 net contracts in the previous five weeks to the highest level since September of 2016 before this week’s retreat.

Silver bets have dipped for two weeks following a strong streak of its own which registered a four-week total gain of +52,974 contracts from June 4th to June 25th.


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Copper speculators, meanwhile, continued along a more bearish path as short bets rose once again and for the eleventh time out of the past twelve weeks.

In currencies, the USD Index Speculator bets got a boost this week while the Mexican peso bets rose by over +18,000 contracts. Canadian dollar bets gained for a third consecutive week as speculators pushed their newly bullish net positions higher.

Japanese yen positions are very close to turning bullish and have gone from a total of -99,599 net contracts on April 30th to just -3,651 contracts on July 9th.

The 10-Year Bond positions were virtually unchanged this week as the bearish position is under the -300,000 net contract level for a third week.

The WTI Crude oil speculators cut back on their bullish net positions following three straight weeks of gains. This latest data shows that the current standing is under the +400,000 net contract level for a fourth straight week.

Finally, VIX speculators are continuing in their bearish ways as short positions have increased now for five straight weeks and for the seventh time out of the past eight weeks.


Reports:

US Dollar Index Speculators lifted their bullish bets. Mexican Peso bets jump higher

Large currency speculators raised their net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. See full article.


WTI Crude Oil Speculators slightly trimmed their bullish bets after 3 weeks of gains

The large speculator contracts of WTI crude futures totaled a net position of 390,149 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -2,661 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


10-Year Note Speculators bearish bets were virtually unchanged this week

Large speculator contracts of the 10-Year Bond futures totaled a net position of -288,836 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of 48 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Gold Speculator bullish bets take a breather after strong 5-week run

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the Gold futures totaled a net position of 244,763 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -14,183 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


VIX Speculators pushed their bets more bearish for 5th week

Large stock market volatility speculator contracts of the VIX futures totaled a net position of -132,182 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -7,958 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Silver Speculators pulled back on their bullish bets for 2nd week after strong gains

Large precious metals speculator contracts of the silver futures totaled a net position of 25,151 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -5,304 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


Copper Speculators continued to boost their bearish bets this week

Metals speculator contracts of the copper futures totaled a net position of -39,987 contracts, according to the latest data this week. This was a change of -10,771 contracts from the previous weekly total. See full article.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).