By The Gold Report
Fund manager Adrian Day discusses the recent drill results announced by a prospect generator.
Evrim Resources Corp. (EVM, To., 0.32) released on December 6 very disappointing results from its eagerly anticipated initial drilling at its Cuale project in Jalisco, Mexico. To call drilling a complete dud might be an exaggeration, but certainly there was nothing that lived up to the expectations engendered by the extraordinary trenching results from the spring. The stock collapsed.
Most recent buying was founded purely on this property and this drilling, so clearly many shareholders simply sold the shares regardless of price. (Pre-open, the stock had over a million shares on the offer at 25.) We think this is a mistake. Indeed, Evrim is good value here, although the near-term stock movement is unknown, as more investors learn of the disappointing drilling results and tax-loss season hits peak selling.
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Report: - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
Is it so bad?
Over 1,100 meters of drilling has been completed and assays of four out of five holes received and released. There was some gold (and copper), but nothing comparable with the trench results. A drill has been turning at nearby North Dome target. The company will finish that drilling and release the results, including from holes already completed. But clearly there are now low expectations. The company is re-evaluating its program, and more broadly its approach. It is unlikely to complete the second part of the planned drill program (after current holes) without further pre-drilling work and evaluation. It will also consider its participation. Evrim is a prospect generator, who drilled this project itself because of the potential and because funds could be raised (with Newmont buying 19% of Evrim shares at a premium). That may change.
The market has exaggerated the decline (no doubt because those who purchased recently purely for this project are selling without regard to the price). First, drilling did hit some gold (including, for example, 14 meters of 1.92 grams from the surface), as well as some copper in different holes. This represents a significant hydrothermal system, and clearly the gold in the trenches had to come from somewhere. There are other targets (from geochem and magnetics) on the property. It is possible another company might be interested.
A solid company, with cash, strong team, and multiple projects and partners
Second, without any consideration for Cuale, the current price discounts other assets in the company. The market cap is now C$26 million. Evrim has cash of about C$11 million (my estimate), plus a royalty on Ermitano (which I estimate has a value of up to $30 million). It also has numerous joint ventures and earn-ins, including some with drilling underway (including at the high-grade Cerro Cascaron project in Chihuahua State, which we have discussed before). Partners include Antofagasta, Newmont and Yamana, and include two regional alliances. If Cuale had never entered the picture, we would be buying Evrim at this price.
You might want to pick up more shares at this level, and perhaps trim your holding from any high-cost shares over the next month or two for a tax loss. Evrim is a buy, though not for the same reason we were buying a month ago.
Lastly, we must commend the Evrim team for exemplary disclosure all the way along, including in recent release. The episode is a reminder that, however compelling a target, however proficient and thorough the team, exploration is still a difficult business without guarantees.
Adrian Day, London-born and a graduate of the London School of Economics, heads the money management firm Adrian Day Asset Management, where he manages discretionary accounts in both global and resource areas. Day is also sub-adviser to the EuroPacific Gold Fund (EPGFX). His latest book is “Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks.”
1) Adrian Day: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Evrim. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: None. Funds controlled by Adrian Day Asset Management hold shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Evrim. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector.
2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports (including members of their household) own securities of Evrim, a company mentioned in this article.
( Companies Mentioned: EVM:TSX.V,