10-Year Note Speculators sharply raised their bearish net positions

April 7, 2018

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10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators strongly added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -375,365 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday April 3rd. This was a weekly fall of -70,153 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -305,212 net contracts.

The speculative bearish position is now over the -300,000 net position for a third week and is at the most bearish level since February 28th 2017 when net positions totaled a record high -409,659 contracts.


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10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 566,052 contracts on the week. This was a weekly rise of 30,613 contracts from the total net of 535,439 contracts reported the previous week.

IEF ETF:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) closed at approximately $102.79 which was a decrease of $-0.21 from the previous close of $103.00, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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