10-Year Note Speculators added to bearish net positions for 2nd week

March 10, 2018

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10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators increased their bearish bets in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -362,150 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday March 6th. This was a weekly reduction of -19,261 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -342,889 net contracts.

Speculative bearish bets have risen for two consecutive weeks and are now at the most bearish level since February 28th of 2017 when net positions totaled -409,659 contracts.


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10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 612,841 contracts on the week. This was a weekly drop of -18,956 contracts from the total net of 631,797 contracts reported the previous week.

IEF ETF:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) closed at approximately $101.93 which was a gain of $0.16 from the previous close of $101.77, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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