Sharp Pound Rebound on 2-Year Brexit Transition Hints, US Inflation Data in Focus 13-10-2017

October 13, 2017


Dollar Treads Water as Investors Await U.S. Inflation Data.  The dollar index was steady at 93.083 in early Asian session on Friday, on track for weekly losses as investors awaited U.S. inflation data to gauge the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will stick to its plan to raise interest rates again this year.  PPI released on Thursday showed some signs of inflation, at least at the producer level.  In the 12 months through September, the PPI jumped 2.6 percent, the biggest gain since February 2012.  Traders await CPI readings later in a day that will provide guidance on further path of inflation.

Pound Reverses on Hints of 2-Year Brexit Transition Period.  Sterling dipped to as low as 1.3122 on Thursday as markets saw the prospect of no deal being reached after chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said negotiations between the two sides have effectively stalled and “no concessions” will be made.  On the same day the pound had a reversal of fortune hitting a high of 1.3289 at the start of the U.S. session on reports the European Union are looking to offer the UK a two-year transition period.

Gold Rally Pauses Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data.  Gold prices were little changed amid a steady dollar on Friday, halting a five-day rally as investors wait for key U.S. inflation data for clues on the outlook for potential hikes in U.S. interest rates.  Spot gold was nearly unchanged at $1,293.76 an after gaining for five straight sessions.  U.S. gold futures for December delivery were flat at $1,296.10 per ounce.

Oil Edges Up as Lower U.S. Production, Inventories Point to Tighter Market.  U.S. crude inventories dropped 2.7 million barrels in the week to Oct. 6, to 462.22 million barrels, the EIA said late on Thursday.  Crude production slipped 81,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 9.48 million bpd, its first fall since the week to Sept. 1.  With the OPEC leading a production cut, analysts said that global oil markets were on a path to rebalancing after years of oversupply.  U.S. WTI crude futures CLc1 were trading at $50.72 per barrel, up 0.1 percent from their last settlement, Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $56.35, up 0.2 percent from the previous close.

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Watch Out Today for: 

12:30 pm GMT: USD Consumer Price Index 

12:30 pm GMT: USD Retail Sales

By MEX Group Team

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